Wednesday, August 22nd. Guardians @ Yankees 1:05 PM Eastern

Gavin Williams (CLE) Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (-125): Williams has been under in 4 of his 9 starts this season, but three of those games were the Tigers (twice), and the Rays. Two teams that are in the bottom 7 of batting average against right handed pitching. The Yankees have cleared this line against 6 of the last 7 righties they have faced at home, and hold the 4th best batting average against right handed pitching on the season. Williams is in the bottom 20% of all pitchers in Expected Batting Average. He has not been good and his batted balls are landing for hits. The Yankees have cleared this in 12 of the last 15 games overall.

Juan Soto (NYY) Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI’s (-120): Soto is an absolute monster against right handed pitching, and also against the Guardians. He has cleared this line in 7 of his last 8 against Cleveland and in 5 of his last 6 home games. Soto is batting .304 against righties, and Williams comes in with an Earned Run Average of 5.02. The opportunity for him to hit, score, and drive in runs looks good in this matchup.

Gerrit Cole (NYY) To Record a Win (+130): Plus money play on this game is going to the Yankees starter. Unlike the Yankees who rake against righties, the Guardians sit in the bottom 10 in Avg, Hits, OPS, HR’s and RBI’s against right handed pitching on the season. Outside of one bad start against the Mets, Cole has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of his last 6 outings. With the expectation that the Yankees will hit Williams, the Guardians lineup against righties, and the recent success of Cole, the Yankees are in a good spot to lead this game after 5 innings. The New York bullpen is 4th in the American League in ERA, and are more than capable of holding a lead against this Guardian offense.