NFC North

Green Bay Packers: 9.5 Over -135

Detroit Lions: 10.5 Over -135

Chicago Bears: 8.5 Over  -160

Minnesota Vikings: 6.5 Under +120

I am not expecting Sam Darnold to do anything amazing, but I do think with Aaron Jones, Jordan Addison, and Justin Jefferson, that he will do more than most people seem to think. With that said, I do not think this defense has enough to keep this team in ball games where they can steal a few wins. The division is tough and they could easily go 0-6 there. Give them 1-5, they still open the season with a brutal stretch after the season opener against the New York Giants. 49ers, Texans, Packers, Jets, Lions, and Rams. I absolutely love the under 6.5 at plus odds. One of my favorite plays this year. The Chicago Bears have more weapons on offense than any rookie quarterback has ever been given. This defense looked good down the stretch and will improve on that into 2024. This is still a rookie led offense, and the Chicago Bears. This team can win 9 games for sure, but -160 is a lot of juice. Can they get the Packers, Lions, or Rams when they come to Chicago? How will they handle division road games and games at San Francisco, Indy, and Houston? I am intrigued and excited like everyone to watch this team and I lean the over, but I am not confident to make the play. The Detroit Lions are the public favorite to win the Super Bowl this season. They get to play 14 of 17 games indoors and they made some moves to improve what was an awful secondary. I still see the back end of the defense as a weaker point, but their run defense is one of the best in the league. Eight or nine home wins looks very possible, and they would only need two or three road wins to clear 10.5. The over is the play and can be made with confidence. The Green Bay Packers look to improve on a great season and have the makings to challenge Detroit for the NFC North crown. The questions remain about the run defense, but the secondary should still have enough to contain teams in the passing game. I have the Packers down for 10 wins and clearing the 9.5 at -135. I have the Lions winning the division, but being separated by only one victory, the Pack at +230 is not a bad sprinkle

NFC East

Philadelphia Eagles: 10.5 Over -135

Dallas Cowboys: 9.5 Over -145

Washington Commanders: 6.5 Over -130

New York Giants: 6.5 Under -135

Will Vic Fangio be the answer to improve a very disappointing Eagles defense from a year ago? How long will it take Jalen Hurts to find a groove in this Kellen Moore offense? If these changes take place quickly, the Eagles could be off to a hot start. If it is a slow start, this team could open with losses to Green Bay and Atlanta, possibly staring 3-3 in the face. I will trust the offense and Fangio to get it right sooner than later, and lean the over here. I am not making a play with confidence as I would not be surprised if they hit 12 wins, or wind up at 9. The Cowboys have some questions in the run game, and who the play makers outside of CeeDee Lamb and Jake Ferguson will be on offense. The defense is still a strong suit, and this looks like a team who can hit 10 wins once again. If they handle business against inferior teams, and win at home, it should not be a question. The issue has been that they are just not as good as the other top teams in the NFC come playoff time. -145 are not great odds, but 10 is a hittable number and can be made with confidence. The Commanders have rookie Jayden Daniels and there is a sense of optimism in Washington. Dan Quinn is the guy to turn the defense around, and Kliff Kingsbury can make this offense a real threat. The Commanders will surprise a few teams along the way and 7-11 is in reach with the changes this organization and team has made. Play the over 6.5. The New York Giants have issues all over the field. Malik Nabers is exciting. The offensive line is still a big issue. Okereke and Burns are solid on defense, but as a whole the unit is below average. It is hard to find three or four wins, let alone 7 on this schedule. Give me the under 6.5 all day.